The Signal Press, Monday, November 2, 2026
When I get a political prediction right, I like to make a record of it. Not that it's such a rare thing, I am actually pretty good at this. I've been watching elections and picking them apart to see what makes them work the way they do for about 35 years now. Every now and then, something unpredictable and surprising happens, but there are signs that can be read before it happens, and this was one of those unpredictable and surprising events.
In previous posts, including the one prior to the election on Monday, there are clear predictions that this writer believed the results of Tuesday's midterms would prove pollsters wrong and heavily biased toward the right, and would be larger in scope than anyone predicted. But I must say, while I'd have been celebrating if Democrats had picked up 35 seats in the house and 5 in the Senate, I honestly thought that was the absolute ceiling.
And I'm very glad to say that I was wrong.
We've been burned and disappointed enough over the past several political cycles, so that our optimism had been damped down and we were being conditioned to accept, by the Trump controlled media and pollsters and pundits, a simple mid-term win where we got back control of the House, probably wouldn't get the senate, and two years of resigning ourselves to at least putting a stop to the worst abuses of the Trump administration.
Then Tuesday happened.
The American people have been paying attention. When a third of the electorate failed to show up in 2024, and that turned out to be enough to allow Trump and his Maga allies in what's left of the GOP to eke out the narrowest of victories, it became a political lesson to be learned. We had four years of Trump's failures and inept lack of any kind of ability to serve as President and be a leader and yet, instead of putting him in prison where his actions should have landed him, and relegating him to the list of Presidents that failed miserably, along with the likes of Franklin Pierce, James Buchanan and Richard Nixon, he managed to ride a wave of apathy back to the White House.
That will go down as one of the biggest political aberrations in American history. Tuesday night will go down as one of the biggest course corrections, political awakenings and restorations, in American history.
Running on the Wrong Issues
Democrats often earned the very legitimate criticism of failing to focus on the issues and complicating the simple political narrative with policy. This time, it was the Republicans, or should I say the Maga party, that couldn't focus on the issues.
Let's be clear about one thing. It didn't matter whether Trump was on the ballot or not, this President has absolute control over the party and it does not do anything without his approval, nor does anyone run for office without his endorsement. These candidates were recruited and vetted by his administration, and ran with his endorsement. And when the leader of the party who sits in the White House repeatedly says that the issue of affordability is a hoax, ignores the facts, and seems unable to maintain focus, people notice.
And they did. They noticed that he seemed to completely ignore everything he had said and everything he had promised and came up with lame excuses to justify wars, especially Iran, and his refusal to recognize that the inflation that was taking hold resulted from his purposeless tariff policies, and that gas price increases were caused by his Iran war and his tariffs on Mexico and Canada, our two biggest oil suppliers.
I think the ballroom and the reflecting pool were just sideshows, but they didn't help. And the attention that was drawn to the cruelty and inhumanity that is at the very core of the values exhibited by this administration because of the murders of Renee Good and Alex Pretti, turned everyone but the small Maga core group against Trump for good.
The "Theology Debate" That Emerged in Talarico's Senate Campaign
Characteristically, the influence of conservative Evangelicalism and the Christian nationalism they push took center stage in Texas, where an ordained Presbyterian pastor became the Democratic party nominee. The Evangelical right cannot stand it when any Christian influence appears on the Democratic party side, and they attack the character and try to pick apart the theology and doctrine of the candidate, to discredit their Christian character. They think that Christianity is their own political tool to use, though they can't see their own monstrous hypocrisy in supporting candidates who are morally bankrupt, and whose claims to being Christian are empty of real faith, and are obviously vote getting tactics.
Of course, they consider their own theology and doctrine as the only correct interpretation of the Bible and the only correct practice of Christian faith and they judge everyone else by that standard. The problem with that is that the vast majority of conservative Evangelicals follow fundamentalism, a distorted legalist interpretation of the Bible that ignores the historical context and traditional theology developed over two thousand years of church history, or Pentecostalism, a deceptive movement rooted in emotionalism and using God as a personal servant. They completely miss the historical, core teachings of Jesus himself by claiming that the Bible must be understood "verse by verse" instead of using the words of Jesus as the filter to interpret all other revelation, or claimed revelation.
One of the side benefits that has come out of having two Christian ministers run for the Senate has been their focus on the core teachings of the Christian gospel, and how inconsistent their Evangelical critics have been in having to twist their words out of context to prove that neither of these guys is a Christian because of their "liberal theology."
What has been made abundantly clear is that the conservative Evangelicals, with their continued hypocritical endorsement of unrepentant politicians like Trump and Ken Paxton, are the ones who have missed the mark when it comes to authentic, sincere Christian faith and practice, and Talarico and Hamilton have correctly identified the Christian gospel and the practiced values that are evidence of its presence. When the response to someone who points out that unconditional love of one's neighbor, which Jesus considered one of the two greatest commandments, is an angry accusation and ugly name calling, it becomes pretty easy to see who is Christian, and who isn't exhibiting the values of the Christian gospel.
Many of the Evangelical leaders who are Maga have been oblivious to the fact that many people in their own congregations see this, and when it becomes untenable for them to try and reconcile their own Christian faith practice with what they hear being preached from their pulpits, they leave. The largest Evangelical denomination in the United States has lost a fourth of its attendance and membership, over 3.2 million people, since Trump was first elected, and in spite of their apologetic to the contrary, the number one reason cited by those leaving was the intrusion of maga politics into the church. Overall, 40% of the membership and attendance of churches identified as Evangelical, either Charismatic/Pentecostal or Fundamentalist, has left in the last decade.
The effect of Charlie Kirk and Turning Point USA on this exodus can't be underestimated. Kirk gave voice to the aberrant, pseudo-Christian theology and doctrine of Maga religion, which I won't call Christianity because it is actually anti-Christ in its doctrine and practice. It is, as the Apostle Jude wrote, an "intrusion of licentiousness" into the church, something about which he warned. This one has been costly to American Evangelicalism.
That's one reason why Republicans couldn't get to the vote totals they needed to win in districts where Trump won in 2024. I've seen a lot of those pitiful social media posts appealing to Christians, claiming that they can defeat the "Muslims, Socialists and Liberals" if they only turn out to vote. But a lot of those Christians no longer see voting Republican as the "only Christian option," and they realize that one's faith is a matter of conscience in this Constitutional democracy, and the government's responsibility isn't to enforce some obscure, nebulous, sectarian, pseudo-Christian interpretation of Christianity. So they have left their church, and they have considered Democrats as viable, legitimate, patriotic American candidates.
And they put James Talarico and Adam Hamilton, among others, in the Senate.
Democrats Have Their Work Cut Out For Them
"Ok, well, they won. Now we're going to see if they can do everything they promised."
I have no doubt that, if there were a Democrat in the White House, the Congress that is coming into power, by sheer number, would achieve everything on the agenda, including getting rid of the tariffs and stopping the Iran war which will lead to the drop of gas and diesel prices and at the grocery market. Those issues were at the top of the list. Let's remember, the first thing that the Biden Administration got passed in 2021 was the infrastructure bill, and the expansion of health care benefits for ACA recipients, along with an inflation busting bill that actually worked.
The biggest disappointment was not bringing Trump and his cronies to justice. And if we believe those exit polls taken during this election, that is as big a priority for the coming Congress as will be the issue of dealing with affordability.
There are some things I can guarantee won't happen.
- There will be no attempt to get Sharia law passed. Yes, there are a few Muslims who have already been elected and at least one that was elected to the Senate, but I've never observed a Muslim legislator in this country who ever mentioned it, or tried it. The Muslims who are in Congress now, Minnesota's Ilhan Omar, and Michigan's Rashida Tlaib, focus on humanitarian issues, mainly education and economic fairness. And I haven't seen anything from Michigan Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed that indicates his agenda is anything but advocating for the benefit of his constituents.
- There will be nothing that resembles a communist philosophy or approach to anything.
- There will be no mandates permitting men to use women's bathrooms, and there will not be any surgical centers set up in schools to perform sex reassignment surgeries so that kids who come to school as one gender go home as another without their parents' permission. And yes, Trump stated that this was happening "in five states." How demented and stupid is that?
- There will be no interference with, repression of, or restrictions imposed on Christianity, or on any other religious belief practices in the United States. Democrats are protectors of the first amendment, unlike this particular Republican administration, and will not favor one religion over another, or attempt to interfere with the free conscience of any American.
- With an eye to the fact that Trump can still use his veto, Democrats will immediately go to work on dismantling these disastrous, inflationary, costly taxes that have been imposed on working class Americans called tariffs. That will cause the price of gasoline and groceries, among other things, to drop immediately.
- The people are demanding justice, and this election is a massive mandate to bring criminals in the administration to justice and to prevent the further grifting and profiteering off of the influence and power of the Presidency that has added billions to Trump's personal pocket, which is not only completely contrary to the rule of law and the Constitution, but is morally reprehensible and patently unpatriotic. This was a major reason for the blue tsunami.
- There is one thing about which Trump was correct, when he said what would happen when Democrats won. We would have health care. He didn't specify what he meant, he made this promise years ago and never followed through. But we will not only have health care, we will be strengthening an existing system to make it viable again, and there will be work on bringing universal health care to all Americans
- There will be Democratic socialism. The voters were also very clear that they are not happy with billionaires and trillionaires taking advantage of the infrastructure and military protection provided by this country and fobbing the bill off on the taxpayers. There will be a fair tax plan that stops ridiculous spending on tax cuts for billionaires, and makes them pay their fair share of the tax burden. The tax breaks will go to those who work the hardest to make this country productive.